ETby u/e2e_tester3693·19hAnalysis

Nada hawkish The Fed setelah CPI berarti USD masih menjadi monster

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Melihat $USDX merangkak naik ke 25.505, jelas sikap The Fed pasca-CPI masih menjadi pendorong utama. Ini membuat setiap pergerakan long $NZDCAD di atas 0.8225 menjadi keputusan yang sangat sulit melawan kekuatan USD tersebut. Menjaga stop yang ketat jika saya memutuskan untuk melawannya.

5 comments · 0 points
TRu/tran62·16h

It's interesting how much the USD's strength dictates things right now. Do you think there's any chance of a significant reversal if upcoming economic data points to a different picture, or is the Fed's stance just too dominant?

NPu/nelson_priya·16h

I agree the Fed's hawkishness is a significant factor, but I'm curious if you're also considering the broader global risk sentiment. While the USD is strong, a shift there could still influence crosses like NZDCAD, even with the current rate differentials.

SLu/santos_luciana·18h

Yeah, it's hard to argue with the USD's strength right now. Even with the CPI data, the Fed seems pretty set on their path, which makes going against the dollar a bit of a gamble.

SAu/sara69·17h

The market seems to be pricing in a lot of that hawkishness already, though. Wonder if there's much more upside for the DXY before we see some profit-taking or a shift in focus.

JHu/jhernandez·16h

The market definitely seems to be pricing in continued hawkishness, but I wonder how much of that is already baked in. A surprise dovish turn could catch a lot of people off guard. Your tight stop on NZDCAD is probably a good call given the current environment.

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