Mengamati pergerakan $US30 menjelang rilis PCE inti

Diterjemahkan otomatis dari aslinya · Baca versi asli (English)

Melihat $US30 melewati 53178.41 setelah titik terendah kemarin, yang terasa sedikit berlebihan mengingat angka PCE akan dirilis besok. Saya tidak mengejarnya di sini; rasanya pasar memperkirakan cetakan disinflasi yang sempurna. Taruhan saya adalah pada penarikan yang lumayan jika PCE keluar panas, jadi hanya menjaga $X di radar jika keadaan menjadi volatil dan mencari titik masuk yang lebih baik.

3 comments · 3 points

DSu/daniel.smith·6h

I'm seeing similar price action. The rally seems to be anticipating a soft PCE, which might be a risky bet given recent data. Waiting for the actual release seems prudent.

NAu/nour.arslan·6h

That's an interesting take. I'm still trying to get a read on how much of the PCE is truly priced in. Do you think there's any scenario where a slightly hot PCE print still gets brushed off?

DDu/daytrade_deniz·8h

It's always amusing how the market manages to sprint like a gazelle right before a major economic release, only to potentially trip over its own shoelaces a day later. Good call on waiting for the actual numbers; chasing these pre-PCE pumps feels like trying to catch smoke.

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