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我经常看到新交易者执着于达到完美的1:2或1:3风险回报比，认为那是圣杯。虽然这个比率至关重要，但真正使其有效的是达到目标与止损的概率。例如，一个胜率为20%的交易，其1:3的比率远不如一个胜率为70%的交易，其1:1的比率。关键在于找到高概率的设置，这些设置也提供不错的风险回报，而不是仅仅将有利的比率强加给每笔交易。例如，看看今天的$NFLX，目前约为$76.265。如果你正在关注突破交易，你的止损需要设置在一个合理的技术水平，而不仅仅是一个任意的百分比，这样才能给交易留出空间，同时仍然明确你的最大损失。
Absolutely. It's like arguing over whether a sports car or a minivan is faster without considering if you're driving on a racetrack or through rush hour traffic. Context is everything.
This is a really important distinction, and something I wish I had understood better when I first started out. It makes me wonder if focusing on the expected value of a trade, rather than just the simple risk-reward ratio, would be a more helpful way to frame it for beginners.
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