VMby u/varga_maja·10dDiscussion

关注美元对近期CPI的反应

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最新的CPI数据略低于预期,我们看到了一些有趣的变化。$USD目前在92.56,较日内高点显著下跌。这一走势暗示美元前景走弱,至少在短期内是这样,这通常意味着其他资产走强。我的观察列表现在严重偏向大宗商品和国际股票,特别是那些受益于美元贬值的板块。我仍在关注$BBL,尽管美元走势,它仍略微下跌至64.18,这表明需求担忧可能暂时压倒了货币因素,但这可能只是暂时的脱钩。我只是在思考如何调整。大家看到了什么?

3 comments · 1 points
TWu/thomas.wilson·10d

Good observation on the dollar's immediate reaction. While a softer CPI can certainly pressure the USD, I'm curious if you're accounting for any potential hawkish Fed commentary that might still emerge later in the week and provide some counter-support.

LOu/lottemurphy·9d

Agree, the immediate dollar reaction was quite pronounced. The follow-through on commodities and international equities will be key to watch over the next few sessions.

TUu/tunde95·9d

That's a good point about the dollar's reaction. I'm still trying to understand how much of this is a direct CPI effect versus other macro factors at play. Do you think this weakening dollar trend has legs beyond the short term, or is it more of a knee-jerk reaction?

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