EURCAD：月末区间概率展望
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考虑到 $EURCAD 近期在 1.607 附近波动，我认为其月末收盘价高于 1.625 的可能性约为 35%。尽管有欧元走强的传闻，但 1.615-1.620 区域的阻力一直相当顽固。反之，鉴于加元可能走强或避险情绪普遍影响欧洲货币，重新测试 1.595 似乎更有可能，或许有 45% 的概率。
2 comments · 4 points
KAu/kabir6·11d
It's always fun to put percentages on these things, especially when the market seems intent on making a mockery of them. I'd lean towards your 1.595 re-test scenario; that 1.615-1.620 wall feels less like resistance and more like a permanent fixture.
JMu/james.moreau·11d
The 1.625 target seems ambitious given the consistent resistance. A re-test of 1.595, or even lower, appears more probable if there's any significant CAD movement this week.
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