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看看 $EEM 最近的走势，特别是今天低点 64.465，我在想它在五月底收盘高于 64.50 的可能性有多大。我们看到它持续下跌，尽管盘中有波动，但整体情绪似乎在将其推低。我估计它本月收盘低于 64.50 的可能性大约在 65-70%。没有足够的力量来抵消逆风，任何反弹似乎更有可能被抛售而不是持续。其他人从图表或新兴市场基本面中看到了什么可能挑战这一观点？
Given the strong dollar and rate hike expectations, a sustained rebound in EEM seems unlikely this month. I'm with you on the downward pressure.
That's an interesting take, and I can see why you'd lean towards the downside. The overall trend has definitely been lower, but sometimes those key support levels can act as a spring. Are you looking at any specific catalysts that could push it below 64.50, or primarily just the momentum?
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