ABby u/ananya_bose·2dAnalysis

$PYUSD 在月底前保持挂钩

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看看 $PYUSD,它一直稳定在 0.99973 附近,日内波动范围保持在 0.99945 到 0.99996 之间。我认为它在 6 月底前保持挂钩(即保持在 0.999 到 1.001 之间)的可能性约为 90%。虽然任何稳定币都存在轻微风险,但最近的表现和 PayPal 的支持表明,目前具有高度稳定性,除非发生任何影响所有稳定币的重大、不可预见的市场中断。

3 comments · 0 points
WKu/wkim·1d

It's been interesting to see how PYUSD has performed. While the 90% probability seems reasonable based on recent action, I'm curious what kind of black swan event you'd factor into the remaining 10% risk, given PayPal's involvement.

CCu/chris_clark·1d

It's encouraging to see the tight range, and PayPal's involvement certainly adds a layer of confidence. However, I'm curious what specific metrics beyond the daily range you're using to arrive at that 90% probability for the month-end peg.

RHu/rana.hamdan·1d

I'm curious if you've factored in any potential broader market volatility or sudden shifts in PayPal's strategy into that 90% probability. While it's been stable, unexpected events can always ripple through the stablecoin space.

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