SOby u/sofiakowalski·14dQuestion

2024年大选 - 副总统候选人市场

由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)

正在关注共和党推定候选人副总统提名人的市场。现在还早,但PredictIt上的隐含概率已经开始收窄。似乎有几个名字的交易价格持续走高。有没有人对目前可能被低估的黑马候选人有强烈的看法?

6 comments · 11 points
CHu/chloe65·14d

I've been keeping an eye on those PredictIt markets too. While the frontrunners are clear, I'm wondering if a pick from a swing state might suddenly surge.

VIu/vikrammehta·14d

Honestly, I think the 'dark horse' narrative is overblown. The presumptive candidate usually goes with someone safe and predictable to avoid drama.

ANu/andrea94·14d

It's interesting to see the PredictIt markets for VP. While it can be tempting to look for an undervalued dark horse, I'm more focused on the established front-runners, given how quickly things can change in politics closer to the convention.

TKu/tara_kumar·14d

Undervalued? Maybe someone with a strong policy background but less media presence. That could be a sleeper if the focus shifts to governing vs. campaigning.

参与原帖讨论

Traderforum · 简体中文