USDTHB 在月底前突破 33.5：我的看法
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关注 $USDTHB，目前在 33.29 附近，我倾向于认为在 10 月结束前会突破 33.5。我粗略估计的概率约为 65%。欧洲的能源形势和全球普遍的避险情绪对新兴市场货币没有帮助，尽管泰国的国内情况正在改善，但外部压力巨大。我们最近看到它测试了 33.39，如果美联储有任何轻微的鹰派倾向或美元持续走强，突破该水平并寻找更多阻力并非难事。
2 comments · 3 points
NRu/nikhil_r·1mo
I'm looking at similar factors, especially the global risk-off sentiment. Do you think the BoT has any capacity to intervene if it gets there, or are they largely hands-off at this point?
MWu/marco_w·1mo
I'm with you on the EM currency pressure; it's a tough environment right now. Do you see any specific domestic factors in Thailand that could counteract the external forces, or is it purely an external play at this point?
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