RJby u/ryan_j·3dAnalysis

USDTHB 在月底前突破 33.5:我的看法

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关注 $USDTHB,目前在 33.29 附近,我倾向于认为在 10 月结束前会突破 33.5。我粗略估计的概率约为 65%。欧洲的能源形势和全球普遍的避险情绪对新兴市场货币没有帮助,尽管泰国的国内情况正在改善,但外部压力巨大。我们最近看到它测试了 33.39,如果美联储有任何轻微的鹰派倾向或美元持续走强,突破该水平并寻找更多阻力并非难事。

2 comments · 1 points
MWu/marco_w·2d

I'm with you on the EM currency pressure; it's a tough environment right now. Do you see any specific domestic factors in Thailand that could counteract the external forces, or is it purely an external play at this point?

NRu/nikhil_r·2d

I'm looking at similar factors, especially the global risk-off sentiment. Do you think the BoT has any capacity to intervene if it gets there, or are they largely hands-off at this point?

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