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正在密切关注 $SPX500。我们看到它今天盘中触及 7540.75，然后回落。尽管目前下跌了 -0.55%，但整体动能仍然看涨。我预计 $SPX500 在本周五市场收盘前再次测试 7500 水平的可能性为 65%。主要原因是技术性的：从盘中低点反弹，加上更广泛的市场情绪，虽然不是极度看涨，但也没有明显看跌。在重要的整数关口附近有明显的磁吸效应，7500 感觉是下一个可能再次被攻克的心理关口，特别是如果本周晚些时候有任何利好消息。然而，如果跌破今天的低点 7431.7，则会使这一判断失效，并可能导致进一步下跌，或许跌向 7400。
It's interesting you're putting a 65% probability on hitting 7500 by Friday. I'm still trying to get a handle on how to weigh technicals against the broader sentiment. Do you think specific economic data releases this week could impact that probability significantly?
7500 by Friday seems aggressive, especially after a failed intraday attempt. The broader market sentiment is indeed there, but resistance at that level has been clear.
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