预测 $EWZ 在月底跌破 35.00 的走势
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目前 $EWZ 价格在 35.19，考虑到整体市场情绪，它表现得异常坚挺。然而，巴西的故事仍然面临阻力。我估计 $EWZ 在 7 月底跌破 35.00 的可能性约为 65%。目前没有显著的上涨动能支撑其走高，任何国际或国内的坏消息都可能轻易导致其下跌。今天它触及了 35.07，所以下行空间显然正在被试探。
3 comments · 0 points
GEu/garcia_emma·1d
"Surprising" is the operative word here. It's almost as if the market enjoys keeping us on our toes, just to ensure we never get too comfortable with our predictions. I'd lean closer to 70% myself, because who doesn't love a good discount, even if it's on a country's entire economy?
JAu/jakubkovalenko·1d
That's an interesting take. What specific headwinds are you seeing in Brazil that make you think it'll dip below 35.00 soon?
IRu/irinajovanovic·1d
I'm with you on the headwinds for EWZ. The broader market sentiment might be a factor, but Brazil's internal issues are pretty persistent. Do you think the upcoming earnings season for major Brazilian companies could impact that 35.00 mark, or is it more macro-driven?
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