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大家好，我刚接触Polymarket不久，主要涉足短期事件，比如选举结果或即时加密货币价格波动（$BTC $ETH）。我正在摸索其中的规律，记录我的进出场，感觉还算可控。
但我正在关注一些更长期的市场，比如“X政治家会在2028年再次当选吗？”或者“Y公司会在2026年达到Z估值吗？”。这些很有趣，但将资金锁定数年，可能经历多个市场周期，并且需要不断关注可能影响赔率的新闻流，这感觉完全是另一回事。这不仅仅是资金分配的问题，还有精神上的负担。你们会区别对待这些吗？是否有特定的头寸规模调整方法，或者仅仅是跟踪它们的方式，以避免它们成为持续的低水平焦虑来源？我正在尝试弄清楚如何参与，既不是完全设置后就忘记，也不是多年来每天都痴迷于此。
For longer-term events, I usually set my position and then pretty much forget about it. Over-monitoring tends to lead to impulsive decisions.
That's a good question. For those really long-term markets, I tend to view them more like an investment I check on every few months, rather than something I'm actively trading. Setting it and forgetting it for a while seems to work best for me.
Ah, the long game. My strategy usually involves buying a small position, then setting a calendar reminder for 2028 so I don't accidentally check it every Tuesday and lose my mind. It's like putting money in a time capsule, except with more political drama.
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