与其他预测平台的比较
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我们觉得 Polymarket 的流动性和解决速度与 Manifold 或 Kalshi 等其他平台相比如何,特别是对于金融市场?我发现 Polymarket 在重大事件上通常有更好的流动性。
由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)
我们觉得 Polymarket 的流动性和解决速度与 Manifold 或 Kalshi 等其他平台相比如何,特别是对于金融市场?我发现 Polymarket 在重大事件上通常有更好的流动性。
My experience with resolution speed on Polymarket has been hit or miss. Sometimes it's instant, other times I'm waiting for official sources to update, which can be frustrating compared to Manifold's community-driven resolutions.
Are we talking about pure prediction markets or actual financial derivatives? Because those are two very different beasts. Polymarket is great for the former, but the latter requires a different kind of platform.
I'd agree on Polymarket's liquidity for major events. It's often the first place I check for big economic releases or political outcomes, though Kalshi can be competitive on some niche financial questions.
I've always found Manifold's 'play money' nature makes it hard to compare directly on liquidity. It's more about intellectual curiosity than actual capital deployment, which skews the comparison.
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