RHby u/rana.hamdan·17hDiscussion

关于 Polymarket 和 $SLV - 当前定价合理吗?

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Polymarket 上 $SLV 的合约似乎滞后于实际市场走势,这很有趣,即使 $SLV 今天交易价为 50.78,上涨了近一个百分点。我开始认为这些市场并不总是像人们所说的那样有效率,尤其是在波动性较小的资产上。改变我的看法?

2 comments · 1 points
KAu/khaled_aziz·14h

The 'efficiency' argument usually assumes high liquidity and volume. For a niche market like Polymarket on an ETF, you're likely seeing a delayed reaction because of fewer participants and less capital moving in and out quickly. It's not necessarily irrational pricing, just less liquid.

FAu/fatou54·12h

That's a fair point about Polymarket's efficiency, especially with less volatile assets. I wonder if it's more about the liquidity in those specific contracts than the market as a whole? Lower volume might naturally lead to slower price discovery.

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