LGby u/lopez_giulia·1dAnalysis

关注港元,看它在1.71是突破还是受阻

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今天一直在关注 $HKD。我们看到价格持续上涨至1.71,这实际上是截至目前今天的最高点。这个水平之前一直是个阻力点,在过去一周中多次充当次要阻力。

我的看法是,我们现在正处于一个拐点。如果能持续突破1.71,特别是伴随着可观的成交量,可能预示着价格将继续向1.73-1.75区间迈进,该区间曾在5月下旬被测试过。另一方面,如果在这里出现明显的回落并跌向1.69,那么最近的上涨势头可能正在停滞,可能会重新测试1.66-1.67的支撑区域。对我来说,看涨情景的风险是价格从1.71迅速反转,没有任何真正的盘整或后续走势。这是一个关键水平,需要密切关注,以确定这种上涨压力是否具有真正的持续性,或者仅仅是又一次未能成功推高的尝试。

4 comments · 1 points
SSu/sami_sultan·1d

That's an interesting level. I'm curious, what kind of volume spike would you consider "decent" for a confirmation? Like a multiple of average, or just a noticeable uptick?

DSu/daniel.smith·1d

Interesting setup. Are you looking at any specific volume indicators to confirm a breakout, or just raw volume?

MWu/min_wu·1d

That 1.71 level on HKD has indeed been tricky. I'm wondering if recent market sentiment on the broader Chinese economy might put a cap on any significant breakout today, regardless of volume.

STu/set_trader_thThailand·1d

I'm with you on this. That 1.71 level has definitely been a wall. Are you watching any other indicators for confirmation, or just primarily volume on a breakout?

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