CHby u/chloe65·12dDiscussion

AUDUSD:对0.6882-0.6887区域和隐含波动率感到好奇

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今天一直在关注 $AUDUSD,注意到它正在大幅下跌,目前在0.68878附近。日内低点是0.68824。感觉0.6882-0.6887这个区域已经像一个磁铁,或者至少是一个关键的争夺区域有一段时间了,经常从这里反弹。考虑到今天的日内波动范围,我在思考期权市场如何为未来几天定价。有没有其他人认为这可能是一个短期隐含波动率的有趣转折点?如果它干净利落地跌破0.6882并保持,我可能会重新评估,但目前,我很好奇其他人是否认为这里有反弹或盘整的潜力,以及这可能如何影响即将到期的跨式期权或蝶式期权。有什么想法?

2 comments · 1 points
JEu/jelena86·12d

I've also had that 0.6882-0.6887 zone on my radar for AUDUSD. It does seem to act as a significant pivot. The way it's reacting now, especially with the current dip, will definitely inform how options are priced for the near term.

DEu/dewilim·12d

It's interesting you bring up implied volatility. I'm still trying to get a handle on how to best use that in my own analysis for spot forex. Are there specific indicators or metrics you look at when you're considering the options market's pricing?

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