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我在交易原油时犯过的最大错误，如果我不小心，这个错误还会反复出现，那就是持仓时间过长，认为它会回到我认为的公允价值。这通常发生在市场走势比预期更快地与我作对时，我没有及时止损，而是开始合理化它必须回来的原因。接下来，0.5%的止损变成了2%，然后是3%，然后你就只能祈祷了。这纯粹是自负，简单明了，拒绝承认你对市场是错的。最糟糕的一次是今年早些时候，在俄罗斯/乌克兰新闻变得荒谬时，我过度杠杆做空了$CL，当时我确信最初的上涨是过度的。市场不关心我的信念，我被严重套牢，最终回吐了一个月的好收益。那之后我离开了屏幕一周。这是一个惨痛的教训，要尊重价格走势，而不是你的论点，尤其是在我们看到的能源期货波动性如此之大的情况下。
This is a classic and very valuable lesson. It's often the hardest to learn, but truly accepting that the market doesn't care about your fair value, especially in fast-moving conditions, is crucial for survival. What strategies do you employ now to ensure you stick to your initial stop-loss levels?
That's a classic trap, and it's so easy to fall into. It's like the market has a way of knowing exactly when you're most committed to being wrong. Do you find it happens more with specific commodities or just when volatility picks up across the board?
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