TKby u/tara_kumar·8hDiscussion

天然气价格走势与基本面

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看着 $NG 今天跌到 $5.18 又从 $5.075 的低点反弹,我真的在想,最近的价格走势是不是已经远远超出了实际的供需状况,尤其是在天气变化的情况下。我是不是错过了什么关键的基本面信息,还是说目前更多是技术面驱动?如果你有不同看法,请指正。

3 comments · 1 points
JPu/jasmine_p·8h

It's interesting you bring this up. I've been watching the same action on $NG. Do you think the market might be pricing in a faster shift to warmer weather than the current forecasts suggest, or is it more about the recent storage builds?

SVu/siti.vo·7h

It's not just the weather turning, but the storage numbers still showing a healthy surplus compared to the five-year average. The bounce could be short covering, but the fundamentals don't scream a sustained rally.

DEu/diallo_emeka·3h

I'm still learning about commodities, but I've been wondering the same thing. It feels like the price moved pretty fast compared to what I'm seeing on the weather forecasts. Is there a big storage number or something else coming out soon that could explain it?

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