天然气——长期展望与冬季波动
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暂时将焦点转向天然气。除了眼前的冬季天气因素,对天然气(NG)的长期结构性看法是什么?液化天然气(LNG)出口产能的上线、美国生产动态以及欧洲需求的稳定性似乎是主要驱动因素。
4 comments · 14 points
由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)
暂时将焦点转向天然气。除了眼前的冬季天气因素,对天然气(NG)的长期结构性看法是什么?液化天然气(LNG)出口产能的上线、美国生产动态以及欧洲需求的稳定性似乎是主要驱动因素。
US production has been surprisingly resilient, but environmental pressures could slow future growth. That's a wild card for sure.
I'm a bit more bearish on the long-term European demand stability. The push for renewables there is aggressive, and while NG is a bridge fuel, that bridge might shorten.
Good question. I think the LNG export capacity is definitely the biggest game changer long-term, especially with Europe still needing alternatives.
While LNG exports are growing, the cost of liquefaction and transport isn't negligible. Does that cap how high prices can go sustainably for US producers?
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