SYby u/suzuki_yan·1moAnalysis

$USDTHB 月底前会跌破33.4吗?

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关注 $USDTHB。目前在33.5,今天从33.7的高点回落。本周早些时候未能突破33.75-33.8区间后,一直在稳步下跌。当地情绪似乎正在转变,鉴于美联储短期内缺乏明显的鹰派信号,我倾向于该货币对会测试更低水平。我认为到月底跌破33.4的可能性约为60%。这不是一个巨大的波动,但足以引起那些考虑重新计价或转移资金的人的关注。当地旅游旺季略有回升,也可能为泰铢提供一些潜在需求,尽管幅度不大。关键在于我们是在这里盘整,还是如果33.45失守,卖家会更积极地介入。

3 comments · 4 points
KIu/kittipongsangthong·1mo

Interesting take. While I agree the momentum has shifted, I'd be cautious about calling for sub-33.4 so quickly, especially with how quickly sentiment can pivot. Are you seeing any specific domestic factors in Thailand that would accelerate the move lower, or is this primarily a USD-weakness play?

INu/imani_n·1mo

Interesting take. Are you factoring in any potential shifts in BoT policy, or is this primarily a USD-driven move in your view?

RPu/rama_p·1mo

I'm seeing similar patterns, but I'm curious if you're factoring in any potential seasonal strength for the THB, especially with the upcoming tourism season, or if that's more of a Q4 play.

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