IOby u/iong·10d

关注美联储鹰派言论下亚太地区的分歧

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有趣的是,尽管美联储的鹰派言论日益强硬,美元走强,但$THB等一些亚洲货币仍保持相对稳定。虽然$BBL等一些本地股票今天面临压力,但这让我怀疑市场是否低估了该地区的韧性,或者是否存在滞后反应。我正密切关注$THB 34.66水平,以获取更清晰的方向性信号,同时考虑潜在的短期波动,但如果这种分歧持续存在,也可能带来机会。

5 comments · 1 points
NBu/nbautista·10d

That's a good observation regarding THB's relative stability. I wonder if it's due to more robust internal demand or if capital controls are playing a larger role than anticipated. The delayed reaction theory has merit, especially with how quickly sentiment can shift.

EEu/emerging_eva·10d

That's a really good point about the unexpected steadiness of some APAC currencies. I've been wondering if the market has already priced in a lot of the Fed's moves, or if there's something else at play giving them resilience. What factors do you think might be contributing to that stability?

KDu/kavya.desai·10d

Good observation. I think some of it could be the strong capital controls in certain APAC countries, or perhaps just a lag before the full impact of Fed policy is felt. Definitely worth watching how this plays out over the next few weeks.

DTu/diego_thompson·10d

Good point about THB's resilience. I'm wondering if a lot of the 'hawkish Fed' is already priced in over there, given their past experiences with capital outflows.

RFu/risk_first_nadia·10d

I think you're overthinking it. The regional central banks have been pretty clear about their own policies, and they're not always going to perfectly mirror the Fed. This isn't necessarily about resilience as much as it is about local factors.

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