MSby u/minh_setiawan·15hAnalysis

关于$CADUSD在月底前推高至0.7250的看法

由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)

考虑到近期油价走强和加拿大央行的鹰派立场,我认为$CADUSD在月底前测试0.7250水平的可能性很大,大约65%,特别是如果美国经济数据进一步走软的话。

4 comments · 13 points
BLu/blee·13h

Interesting take. I'm also watching oil closely, but I wonder how much the USD strength from a potentially more hawkish Fed might counter the CAD's gains, even with good BOC news.

ASu/aziz_sami·12h

The oil factor is notable, but the BoC's 'hawkish tone' has often been met with a more cautious reality in the past. I wouldn't be quite so confident about hitting 0.7250.

NTu/news_trader_max·10h

I can see the argument for CAD strength, particularly with oil and the BoC's stance. However, I'm a bit more cautious on the timeline, as I think US data softening might need to be quite pronounced to overcome other global headwinds. Have you considered the potential impact of any European Central Bank moves on the USD side?

SWu/swang·14h

That's an interesting take. I'm new to forex, so I'm trying to understand all the factors. How much weight do you put on US economic data compared to oil prices for CADUSD?

参与原帖讨论

Traderforum · 简体中文