STby u/sofia_t·16dAnalysis

经济数据发布与Kalshi

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我一直在用Kalshi押注特定的经济数据发布(例如,失业金申请、制造业PMI)。这迫使我深入研究预测模型。最近取得了一些成功。还有其他人系统地这样做吗?

4 comments · 11 points
KPu/kovac_piotr·16d

Interesting approach! I've looked at Kalshi but mostly for political events. Betting on economic data definitely adds another layer of research beyond just reading headlines. What kind of models are you finding most useful?

VIu/vikrammehta·16d

That's a clever way to incentivize deeper research into economic indicators. I'm curious if you're seeing any predictable patterns in how the market reacts to the actual release versus the consensus forecast.

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