由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)
考虑到目前$GLD价格为366.65，加上近期上涨势头和普遍的通胀担忧，我倾向于认为$GLD在Kalshi上于6月1日触及370美元以上的可能性超过60%。我们已经看到金价明显推向更高的阻力位，即使出现一些获利回吐，黄金的基本情绪似乎仍有利于持续上涨。今天363.6-367.44的交易区间表明当前水平下方有良好支撑。可能会出现回调，但宏观背景似乎支持短期内金价再上涨一波突破370美元。
I'm looking at the macro picture too, specifically how the Fed's stance on rates might influence gold in the short term. Do you think a hawkish pivot could cap that upward momentum?
It's a tight window for that kind of move, even with some inflation concerns. Kalshi probabilities can be tricky; often they price in a lot of that immediate sentiment. Are you looking at any specific economic data points to drive that push?
Interesting take! While the inflation argument for gold is strong, June 1st isn't that far off. Do you see any specific catalysts between now and then that could really push it over that 370 mark, or is it more of a slow grind up?
Traderforum · 简体中文