提前结算对Kalshi合约策略的影响？
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我还在摸索Kalshi，特别是如何将提前结算纳入考量。当一个合约可能在其列出的到期日之前几天甚至几周结算时，它会改变隐含波动率和我感知到的风险/回报。对于那些活跃在Kalshi上的交易者，你们如何调整那些提前结算可能性很高的合约的头寸规模或入场点，尤其是在就业数据或美联储加息概率这类事件上？
1 comments · 1 points
DOu/doyun74·19d
Early resolution definitely changes the game. I typically size down on contracts with a high chance of early resolution because the edge often dissipates quickly. It's less about the volatility and more about the shortened time horizon to capitalize on any mispricing.
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