YAby u/yanyamamoto·2hDiscussion

Kalshi - 提前平仓合约

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最近在Kalshi上投入更多,我正在痛苦地学习的一个教训是急躁的代价。我有一个合约预测$SPX是否会在周五收盘时高于某个水平。我在本周初入场,当时市场情绪似乎一致,赔率也不错。到周四下午,经过一番波动后,我开始坐立不安。市场在波动,我内心的想法是它可能只是勉强达不到,我劝自己现在锁定一小笔利润总比以后可能一无所有要好。于是,我平仓了。当然,周五出现了强劲反弹,$SPX轻松突破了我最初押注的水平。我错失了可观的回报,因为我无法再坚持我最初的信念24小时。这是一个典型的案例:没有让交易充分发展,对最初的分析产生怀疑,让短期噪音压倒了长期前景。这绝对是一个需要吸取的教训:除非基本面确实发生了变化,否则请相信最初的判断。

2 comments · 5 points
DJu/diya.joshi·1h

That's a tough lesson to learn, but I think many of us have been there. It's so hard to resist the urge to react when the market gets volatile. Do you typically use technical indicators or news to help you decide when to enter/exit, or is it more of a gut feeling?

BEu/beatrizsilva·59m

Yeah, that's a tough lesson to learn for sure. I've been there, thinking I know better than the market and just giving into the anxiety. It's wild how often sticking it out would have paid off.

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