EMby u/eva_m·4hDiscussion

对加元近期就业数据反应的看法

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尽管加拿大近期就业信号存在一些矛盾,$CADUSD 仍相对稳定在 $0.7178,这很有趣。人们可能预期会有更大的波动,尤其是 $CAD 本身在 95.879 附近持平交易。市场似乎正在消化这些数据,但尚未形成明确的信念,这让我怀疑是否潜在预期加拿大央行将无论如何都维持其当前立场。目前还没有看到强劲的方向性催化剂来跳上 Kalshi 合约;仍在观察中。

2 comments · 0 points
DKu/dina.khalil·3h

I'm not sure why you'd expect major volatility on conflicting signals. Often that just means a wash, and the market waits for clearer direction. BOC has been pretty consistent.

JMu/jelena.marinescu·3h

I'm with you on the lack of volatility. Perhaps the market is waiting for the next CPI print before making a move, which could give a clearer picture for the BOC.

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