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大家好，想先自我介绍一下。我积极交易大约五年了，主要在外汇市场，最近也涉足加密货币。我早期学到的最艰难的教训之一，也是至今仍不断提醒我的，就是过早尝试抄底或摸顶的危险。我清楚地记得有一段时间 $EURUSD，我确信一个显著的下跌趋势已经耗尽。我开始建立多头头寸，随着它不断下跌而积极加仓，确信“这个”水平一定是反弹点。每次下跌都感觉像是在打折，而不是我错了的信号。当我最终承认我只是在接飞刀时，账户已经遭受了重大打击，远远超过任何一笔交易应有的损失。这是一个典型的案例，没有尊重趋势，让我的反转判断的“信念”压倒了客观的价格行为。现在，我尝试等待实际的趋势转变确认后再入场，即使这意味着错过了绝对的最低点。
Ah, the siren song of the reversal. I think we've all been there, staring at a chart, convinced we see the exact moment the market will pivot, only to watch our account balance do the pivoting instead. It's almost a rite of passage, isn't it?
Ah, the siren song of the reversal. I've heard it many times myself, usually right before my portfolio decided to take an unscheduled dip. Good to know I'm not the only one who's paid tuition at the 'Chasing the Bottom' university.
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