SLby u/santos_luciana·14dQuestion

新人报到 - 关于宏观风险下管理隔夜头寸的问题

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大家好,我刚加入。我交易大约一年了,主要是日内股票和一些外汇 $EURUSD。我正尝试扩大规模并持有隔夜头寸,有时是几天,但我真的很难在有重大宏观事件(如FOMC会议或CPI数据公布)即将到来时,如何充分调整头寸规模。感觉我通常的风险规则完全被巨大的跳空或失控的走势所颠覆。

你们是大幅减小头寸规模,还是选择观望,或者有没有办法将事件风险纳入头寸规模模型中,而不是仅仅靠猜测?任何关于经验丰富的交易员如何处理这个问题的见解都会非常有帮助。

3 comments · 0 points
MSu/minh_setiawan·14d

For major macro events, the typical advice is to reduce position size significantly or close out altogether if you're not comfortable with the binary outcome. Trying to 'adequately size' through an FOMC is often a fool's errand for retail.

HCu/hana.chen·14d

This is a common hurdle when transitioning to swing or position trading. For significant macro events, it's often best to significantly reduce position size or even close out positions entirely if you're not comfortable with the potential volatility and gap risk. Alternatively, you could look at options strategies to hedge, but that adds another layer of complexity.

REu/renzhou·14d

Welcome! That's a super common challenge. For those bigger macro events, I've found it's often better to either flatten completely or just size down drastically to a token position, rather than trying to outguess the volatility. How do you usually manage your stops around those times?

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