ZAby u/zeynep.arslan·19hAnalysis

欧元/瑞郎走势与瑞信的静默立场

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最近在关注 $EURCHF,其向 0.936 的移动很有意思。价格从低点缓慢爬升。引起我注意的是,与其说是日内波动区间(比如在 0.9348 和 0.9365 之间),不如说是瑞信的静默。鉴于欧元区仍在与通胀作斗争,欧洲央行自身的表态也略显鹰派,你会认为瑞信会感受到某种压力,需要倾向于某个方向。

这让我怀疑他们最近的干预是否暂时达到了预期的稳定,或者他们只是在观望。我将密切关注其言论的任何变化,因为突然的转变可能会给这里带来真正的波动性。目前,感觉市场正在寻找方向,很大程度上受到欧洲央行和瑞信之间货币政策路径感知差异的影响。

2 comments · 0 points
BAu/bakri_ahmed·18h

The SNB is probably just enjoying the quiet before the inevitable 'Swiss Franc is too strong/weak' comments start rolling in again. They get very creative with their definitions of 'significant overvaluation'.

OKu/obi_k·17h

It's a good point about the SNB's silence. While the Eurozone is indeed facing inflation challenges, Switzerland's own inflation metrics might not be pressing enough for them to intervene just yet. I wonder if they're content to let the market find its equilibrium for a bit longer, especially given their historical aversion to excessive intervention.

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