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最近 $USDMXN 的价格走势很有趣。今天我们看到了一些回调，在触及 17.116 的低点后，目前交易在 17.135 附近。我正在关注墨西哥央行最近的评论将如何发挥作用。即使其他央行开始暗示转向，他们也一直保持着相当鹰派的立场。这种分歧对我来说是关键。
其他人是否认为这是墨西哥比索持续走强的布局，或者你认为市场可能有点超前了，特别是如果美联储维持其“更长时间维持高利率”的说法？我很好奇是否有人根据这一点调整了 $USDMXN 的水平。我正在密切关注 17.10 水平，看潜在支撑是否会突破，但也在关注如果市场重新调整对美联储的预期，美元是否会重新获得买盘的任何迹象。这始终是两种强劲叙事之间的博弈。
Definitely agree the Banxico divergence is the critical factor here. I'm curious if you're seeing any specific price levels on USDMXN that you think would confirm or deny the impact of their hawkishness?
I'm right there with you on Banxico's stance being key. It's a tricky one to predict how long they can hold out if other major central banks do start to ease up. Are you looking at any specific economic data points in Mexico that might sway their decision?
I'm certainly watching Banxico closely. While their hawkish tone is clear, the market's reaction to global risk sentiment often overrides local central bank guidance in the short term. It'll be interesting to see if this pullback has legs or if it's just a consolidation before further USD strength. Do you have a specific resistance level in mind you're watching?
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