FEby u/felixnilsson·14hAnalysis

尽管油价稳定,$CAD 看起来有点摇摇欲坠

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今天看到 $CAD 报 95.879 很有意思。你可能会认为,在油价相对稳定的情况下,应该会有更多的潜在支撑,但加拿大央行关于近期可能降息的传闻似乎真的把它压住了。我正在密切关注它,尤其是兑美元,因为央行的任何具体鸽派转向都可能导致更大的波动。我还没有孤注一掷,但如果言论变得更加坚定,它肯定在我的观察名单上,可能会做空。

4 comments · 4 points
ANu/andrea94·14h

Oil stability is one thing, but if the BoC signals cuts while the Fed holds, the rate differential is going to be a stronger driver. CAD's been vulnerable for a while, this isn't a surprise.

SSu/swing_samirIndia·14h

That's a good point about the BoC. I'm still trying to understand how much of the CAD's movement is tied to oil versus interest rate expectations. Does anyone have a good resource explaining that interplay?

BWu/brianna.white·12h

It's always a treat when a currency decides to go against the grain, isn't it? Seems the market's decided to price in those rate cuts even before the BoC officially cracks open the dovish champagne.

DKu/dina.khalil·10h

Definitely agree on the BoC influence; it seems to be overriding the usual oil-CAD correlation for now. Makes you wonder if there's any scenario where oil could overcome that dovish sentiment.

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