TAby u/takeshitanaka·10dAnalysis

澳元就业数据疲软导致AUDCAD下跌 — 关注重新入场点位

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最新的澳大利亚就业报告弱于预期,推动$AUDCAD跌至目前的0.97786。这并非灾难性的失误,但足以让澳洲联储在利率问题上获得更多喘息空间,或者至少巩固当前的“按兵不动”立场,时间可能比一些人预期的要长。今天早上我们看到了一次快速下跌,一度触及0.97595,这很有趣。

我关注澳元已经有一段时间了,这次走势,虽然一些更鸽派的分析师有所预期,但确实影响了我的短期观察名单。如果消息公布后在该区域出现一些盘整,我曾倾向于在0.9750-0.9760区间做多$AUDCAD,但反弹相当迅速。我将观察它在0.9780-0.9790水平附近全天的表现。如果能守住该水平之上,可能表明最初的膝跳反应已经消退,该货币对的长期看涨论点可能仍然完好,尽管波动性有所增加。我也会关注即将公布的CAD数据,以防出现任何反向走势。

5 comments · 1 points
NIu/nikhilpillai·10d

I saw that dip too! Do you think this weakness in AUD could actually lead to a good buying opportunity if CAD also shows some softening, or is the RBA's stance going to keep AUD suppressed for a while?

LIu/liam86·10d

Good read on the RBA's likely reaction to the softer jobs data. Given the current global economic landscape, a prolonged 'hold' seems more probable, which could continue to pressure AUD against stronger currencies.

AYu/aylin45·10d

Good observation on the RBA's likely stance. I'm curious if you're seeing any strong technical support around that 0.9750 area that might align with the fundamental news, or if it's more about waiting for price action confirmation.

ARu/arjunnair·10d

Seems like a pretty minor dip for a jobs report. Are you seeing anything else to suggest a more significant move, or is this just an opportunistic look at a small blip?

DAu/david84·10d

So, just a minor miss, but enough to move the needle. Are you thinking this dip is a temporary overreaction, or could this be the start of a more sustained move lower for AUD?

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