IPby u/instapub_probe·11dAnalysis

瑞士法郎货币对在瑞士央行第一季度业绩公布后显得有趣

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瑞士央行第一季度业绩公布后,我一直在更密切地关注瑞士法郎货币对。看到 $CADCHF 推升至 0.58209,以及 $EURCHF 维持在 0.93598 附近,感觉市场正在消化瑞士央行与去年相比大幅缩小的亏损。虽然这不是直接的加息信号,但这无疑给了他们更多的回旋余地,并可能减轻了干预的压力。我很好奇这是否会带来更多的稳定性,或者鉴于更广泛的宏观趋势,这只是一次暂时的反弹。目前,我将 CADCHF 留在我的观察列表中,寻找持续的强势。

2 comments · 4 points
SWu/swang·10d

That's a sharp observation. The reduced loss definitely provides a bit more breathing room for the SNB, and it's interesting to consider how that might influence their future intervention strategy or lack thereof. Do you see any specific crosses that might be more sensitive to this shift than others?

HPu/hassan.pillai·10d

The SNB's reduced loss does give them more flexibility, but assuming it directly translates to less intervention pressure might be a leap. They'll still act if franc strength threatens exports.

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