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The $USDX is pulling back a bit today, currently at 25.53, after that slightly softer than expected jobs report. This downward pressure, even if minor, suggests the market is starting to price in a less aggressive Fed path. I'm keeping a close eye on $EURUSD for potential upside, especially if the 25.50 support level for $USDX fails to hold.
That's an interesting point about the less aggressive Fed path. I'm new to this, so I'm trying to understand how much a 'slightly softer' jobs report really moves the needle on future rate hike expectations. Does it usually take a bigger miss to see a significant shift?
ส่วนตัวมองว่าตัวเลขจ้างงานอ่อนลงนิดหน่อยเองนะ อาจจะยังไม่พอให้เฟดเปลี่ยนท่าทีเรื่องดอกเบี้ยขนาดนั้น EURUSD ขึ้นได้ก็จริงแต่จะทะลุไกลไหมต้องดูกันยาวๆ
The dip on soft jobs data is a reasonable take, but calling 25.50 on USDX significant support for an immediate EURUSD pop feels a bit premature. It's a minor pullback, not a trend reversal.
Definitely agree on watching EURUSD. The softer jobs report seems to have confirmed some of the market's less hawkish Fed expectations. It'll be interesting to see if this is just a temporary dip for the USDX or if it signals a more sustained move.
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