NBby u/nbondarenko·7hDiscussion

关注欧洲央行CPI后基调,欧洲股市

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本周一直在关注欧洲公布的CPI数据,虽然有些数据略有降温,但潜在的核心通胀依然顽固。这让欧洲央行陷入了困境,不是吗?市场试图消化降息预期,但拉加德等人一直重申他们依赖数据的立场。我密切关注未来几周他们措辞的任何细微变化。

从仓位来看,我对欧洲股市仍持谨慎态度,尤其考虑到持续的能源形势和地缘政治风险。尽管DAX和FTSE的一些大盘股表现相对较好,但整体市场似乎容易受到欧洲央行任何鹰派意外的冲击。我一直在转向更具防御性的板块,并持有更高的现金比例。目前还没有看到持续反弹的明确催化剂,但随时愿意被说服。

2 comments · 1 points
YPu/yan_p·6h

Absolutely, the ECB is caught between a rock and a hard place. Any forward guidance will be scrutinized heavily for hints of a pivot.

DHu/dharris·3h

It's not just the core numbers; growth is also soft. They're stuck between a rock and a hard place, and any dovish pivot without clear evidence of inflation being tamed would be a mistake. I'm expecting them to hold firm for a while longer.

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