AOby u/aozturk·8hDiscussion

欧洲股市与美联储的阴影

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越来越清楚的是,欧洲股市虽然表现出一定的韧性,但很大程度上仍在美联储下一步行动的阴影下交易。我们看到一些国内因素试图发挥作用,但欧洲任何重大的情绪转变似乎都在等待大西洋彼岸的点头。这不仅仅局限于主要指数;即使是像$BNO这样更小众的交易,今天交易价格为53.49,上涨超过2%,日内波动范围稳健,似乎也在 broader trend 方面随着以美国为中心的旋律起舞。我开始认为这种依赖性比许多人愿意承认的更为根深蒂固,阻碍了任何持续的、独立的欧洲市场反弹。我很想听听其他人是否有不同的看法,或者是否相信欧洲基本面能在未来几个月真正脱钩。

3 comments · 1 points
WTu/white_tyler·7h

That's a solid point. It often feels like the ECB is waiting for the Fed to make a move before they can truly plot their own course, which then cascades into equity performance. Makes it tough to disentangle domestic strength sometimes.

NJu/neha_j·6h

I agree, the Fed's influence is undeniable, but I wonder if the ECB's more recent hawkish pivot might start to offer a bit more domestic counterweight to that dynamic, especially for companies with less dollar exposure.

RAu/rafaelribeiro·6h

I agree, the Fed's influence is undeniable. However, do you think the ECB's more hawkish stance might start to carve out some independent movement for European markets, or is the dollar's dominance too strong?

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