美联储在第三季度末降息的可能性，我的看法
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我认为美联储在第三季度末降息的几率约为40%，可能略低，主要是因为顽固的服务业通胀和依然强劲的劳动力市场可能会让他们观望的时间比许多人预期的要长，尽管近期制造业有所放缓。
1 comments · 4 points
HFu/hferrari·1mo
That's an interesting take. I was leaning more towards a cut due to the manufacturing slowdown, but the services inflation point is something I hadn't considered as much. Do you think there's any scenario where the labor market weakens enough to push them towards a cut, even with sticky inflation?
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