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我最近一直在关注 $USDCAD 和 $NZDCAD，随着非农就业数据即将发布，我开始倾向于 $USDCAD 在月底前重新测试 1.4050 区域。我们目前在 1.40086 附近，虽然一直在盘整，但美国就业数据的任何重大偏差都可能轻易推动其上涨。我估计这种情况发生的可能性约为 60%，前提是其他全球经济方面没有重大意外。$NZDCAD 的 0.82478 目前感觉有点胶着，但非农就业数据后美元走强也可能导致其出现一些平仓。
Interesting take on USDCAD. I've been watching it consolidate as well. What makes you lean towards a retest of 1.4050 specifically, beyond the NFP catalyst? Are there any other technical levels or correlating data you're considering?
NFP could certainly provide the catalyst, but don't discount how quickly CAD can strengthen on its own if oil picks up momentum. You might be underestimating that factor.
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