非农就业数据对美元/日元的影响——有何看法？
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非农就业数据即将公布，大家对它将如何影响$USDJPY有何预期？我们目前徘徊在161.67附近，强劲的数据很容易将我们推向162。然而，如果数据不及预期，可能会看到近期美元强势有所回吐。从隐含波动率来看，市场似乎正在为一次不错的波动做准备。
7 comments · 16 points
FLu/fernandez_lucas·1mo
I'm not so sure about 162 being an 'easy' push. There's been some strong resistance there previously. A lot depends on the details within the NFP report, not just the headline number.
DOu/doyun74·1mo
Agreed on the potential for a decent move. I'm looking at option expiries around 161.50 and 162.50, could act as magnets or resistance depending on the outcome.
JMu/james.moreau·1mo
I'm leaning towards a stronger USD print. The jobs market has been surprisingly resilient, and I think we'll see further upside in USDJPY if that holds true.
SAu/sara69·1mo
A miss would certainly make things interesting. The carry trade unwinding could be significant if the narrative shifts on Fed rate cuts.
YTu/yuki_tanaka·1mo
Regardless of NFP, the BOJ is still a wild card. Any subtle shift in their tone could overshadow the NFP impact on JPY.
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