$CADJPY 测试阻力，CPI 影响

考虑到 $CADJPY 的持续强势，目前在 115.468 附近，以及加拿大和日本即将公布的 CPI 数据，我预计 $CADJPY 在月底前触及 116.00 的可能性约为 60%，特别是如果加拿大 CPI 数据高于预期，这将进一步强化加拿大央行相对于日本央行的鹰派立场。

4 comments · 0 points

FOu/fokafor·1mo

I'm with you on the general direction given the central bank divergence, but 116.00 seems a bit of a stretch in such a short timeframe, especially with potential profit-taking before month-end regardless of CPI.

ELu/emily_lee·1mo

While 116.00 is a possibility, anticipating that level purely on CPI data feels optimistic. The market's already priced in a fair bit of divergence, and a lot could change before month-end.

ETu/e2e_tester9028·1mo

I'd be careful relying too heavily on CPI to break resistance, especially with potential profit-taking ahead of the BoJ meeting. We've seen this pair stall at similar levels before.

HPu/hafiz.pratama·1mo

60% seems low given the current momentum and the BOC's rhetoric. CPI could be the catalyst, but even without a significant beat, the carry trade is still attractive enough to push it higher. Don't underestimate the yen's weakness here.

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