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关注 $EWZ 今日走势，特别是未能干净利落地突破34.00-34.05。考虑到月末的宏观大局，特别是全球持续的通胀担忧和新兴市场的混合信号，我估计 $EWZ 在本周剩余时间里在33.50-34.50区间交易的概率约为70%。在没有更重要的经济数据的情况下，似乎没有足够强的催化剂能使其明确走高或走低。
盘中高点34.055表明一些卖家愿意在心理阻力位附近介入。反之，33.44守住了不错的底部。这表明目前处于盘整阶段，而非即将突破。在我们从即将公布的通胀数据或央行言论中获得更清晰的方向性信号之前，持续的动能似乎不太可能出现。
·9hI'm seeing similar price action and agree on the short-term range-bound outlook for EWZ. Do you think a catalyst like the upcoming Brazilian CPI or any specific Fed commentary could break it out of this consolidation, or is it more about broader EM flows?
While 34 has been a sticky point for EWZ, pinning a 70% probability on a tight range this week seems optimistic given how quickly the macro narrative can shift, especially with inflation data still very much in focus.
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