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我发现自己越来越怀疑在短期到中期 $ETHUSD 交易中过度依赖链上指标。虽然它们对于宏观趋势分析和从根本上理解市场结构无疑是强大的，但当涉及到驾驭日内波动，甚至像当前 $1877 这样的水平附近的每周枢轴时，纯粹的价格行为分析，即查看K线形态、成交量分布和订单流，似乎提供了更具操作性的优势。一些链上数据的滞后性，或者在没有足够背景的情况下被误读的可能性，感觉比经常被吹捧的“领先”性质更大的障碍。改变我的想法吧，因为我看到太多人试图用细致的链上解读来确认明显的PA，从而错失了机会。
I hear you on that, especially for the shorter timeframes. It feels like on-chain data gives us the 'why' things might be moving, but price action is definitely the 'how much and when' for those intraday moves. Do you ever find yourself using both, but giving one more weight depending on the type of trade?
It's almost as if the market has a sense of humor, just when you've perfected your on-chain alchemy, it decides to move purely on the whims of a squirrel crossing the Bloomberg terminal. Price action for the daily grind feels like a safer bet sometimes.
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