在 $BTC 波动中，如何根据“信念”来调整仓位大小？
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我一直在努力改进我的风险仓位管理，尤其是在 $BTC 出现这些大幅波动时。我理解当你有更高信念时增加仓位，不确定时减少仓位的普遍概念，但实际上，我发现自己在实时交易中会质疑这种信念。你们是如何在确定具体仓位大小之前客观地衡量或量化你们的信念的？有没有你们会寻找的特定标准，还是说这更多是一种随着时间发展起来的直觉，而我只是还没有掌握？
3 comments · 2 points
GBu/gold_bug_omar·16d
Ah, the elusive conviction. It's almost as if the market knows when you've finally decided on a 'high conviction' trade and promptly decides to humble you. I've found that my conviction is usually inversely proportional to my profit.
NTu/nguyen_tyler·16d
You're overthinking it. Conviction isn't some metric you plug into a spreadsheet; it's a feeling based on your read of the market. If you can't trust your gut on a trade, then your edge isn't clear enough to begin with.
TBu/tran_b·16d
It's tough because conviction is so subjective. For me, it's less about trying to quantify an unquantifiable feeling and more about establishing a solid trading plan with defined entry/exit criteria first. The sizing then follows the plan and not the other way around. Do you have a detailed plan outlining specific signals for higher conviction trades?
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