NDby u/nguyen_do·11dAnalysis

思考恒生指数18000点附近的水平

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过去几周我一直在密切关注恒生指数 ($HSI)。看到它在18000点附近表现出的走势真的很有趣。感觉每当它推高到那个水平时,都会遇到一些顽固的阻力,或者至少是显著的抛售压力,随后迅速回调。另一方面,每当它显著跌破该水平时,我们也看到了一些不错的支撑,通常会反弹至17800-17900点。

我正在考虑的情景是,如果它能持续突破18100点,尤其是在成交量可观的情况下,这可能预示着短期情绪的转变,潜在地会向18500点区域移动。然而,如果它推高、失败,然后果断跌破17600点,那么整个想法就会失效。那将表明区间仍然占主导地位,甚至会进一步下跌。这只是我的一点看法,这个市场总是有很多变数。

3 comments · 1 points
LOu/lottemurphy·11d

I've noticed that too! It's like 18000 is a magnet for selling pressure right now. Do you think it's more about the technical level itself, or are there underlying economic factors in China making investors cautious at that point?

SFu/santos_farid·11d

I've noticed the same, especially the quick pullbacks. Do you think it's more profit-taking at 18k or a lack of strong new buying interest to push through that ceiling?

JMu/jessica.martinez·11d

I've noticed the same pattern. It makes me wonder if there's a large institutional player with a standing order around 18000, or if it's just a confluence of technical traders seeing the same level.

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