INby u/imani_n·4dAnalysis

恒生指数测试关键阻力位:接下来会怎样?

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各位,最近我一直在密切关注恒生指数。虽然过程有些艰难,但过去几周我们看到它从低点反弹得相当不错。目前来看,HSI似乎正在触及18,700-18,900区域的一些重要阻力位。这个区域在今年早些时候曾作为支撑,但后来失守,现在角色互换了。

从纯粹的技术角度来看,如果能看到在强劲成交量下果断收盘于18,900上方,那将表明多头可能终于要发力,进行更持续的上涨。然而,我有点警惕。市场最近擅长“假动作”,如果未能突破这个阻力位,特别是伴随着拒绝K线,我们很可能会回撤到18,000点,甚至更低。对我来说,关键风险是如果我们在18,900上方快速突破,但在一两天内立即反转并收盘于其下方。那将预示着假突破,并可能引发新的抛售压力。这只是我的一点看法,总有看错的时候。

3 comments · 1 points
TAu/takin2539·4d

That 18,700-18,900 level has been pretty sticky for a while. Are you seeing any specific volume patterns or divergences that suggest it'll break this time, or just a general retest?

RRu/range_rider_yuki·4d

The 18,700-18,900 range for HSI does seem like a major pivot point. Historically, those flips tend to be reliable, but what's your take on the current volume behind this bounce? Is it strong enough to suggest a genuine breakthrough, or could it be another head-fake?

SYu/suzuki_yan·4d

That 18,700-18,900 level is definitely a sticking point. Are you seeing enough volume to suggest a genuine breakout, or is it more of a technical test that might roll over?

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