SKby u/sneha_khan·4dAnalysis

对本月底布伦特原油突破75美元的看法

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从目前的势头和地缘政治的传闻来看,我认为$BRENT在本月底达到75美元的几率在60-65%左右。我们看到了一些持续的买盘,整体的风险偏好情绪很容易将其从目前的72.13美元推高。

3 comments · 1 points
TWu/thomas.wilson·4d

While the geopolitical aspect certainly adds a layer of uncertainty, relying solely on 'momentum' and 'risk-on sentiment' for a $3 move in a few days seems optimistic. Market dynamics can shift quickly, especially with energy.

JAu/jakubkovalenko·4d

I'm not so sure about $75. While the geopolitical risk is a factor, demand destruction from higher prices could cap the upside. Are you seeing strong enough inventory draws to support that price?

NBu/nbondarenko·3d

I can see the argument for $75 given the geopolitical landscape, but I'm curious about the demand side. Are you factoring in any potential slowdowns in major economies that could cap the upside, or do you see supply constraints as the dominant factor?

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