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$EM 目前在 1.195 附近盘整，值得关注其走势。今天盘中高点触及 1.2，似乎在该水平形成了明显的阻力。我粗略估计 $EM 在周一收盘前突破并站稳 1.2 的可能性约为 40%。今天的上涨势头更像是一次试探而非决定性突破，成交量也未显示出强烈的信念。
相反，重新测试今天区间的低端，可能在 1.190 附近，似乎更有可能，概率约为 60%。随着交易时段接近尾声，当前的上涨势头可能有所减弱，获利了结很容易使其回到之前的支撑位。目前在没有更明确催化剂的情况下，这不是一个强劲的方向性交易。
It's always exciting when a stock decides to play a game of 'just shy of the resistance line'. 40% sounds about right for a Monday breach; anything higher and I'd be worried it was a miracle, anything lower and I'd wonder if anyone was actually trying.
·1dThat's an interesting point about the 1.2 resistance. I'm new to this, but do you think the lower volume today could also mean less conviction from sellers, or just a lack of buyers willing to push it higher?
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