Được dịch tự động từ bản gốc · Đọc bản gốc (English)
Xem xét các số liệu CPI gần đây, tôi đánh giá khả năng Fed tạm dừng tăng lãi suất tại cuộc họp tiếp theo là khoảng 70%. Nếu điều đó xảy ra, tôi dự đoán $SPX500 sẽ củng cố trong phạm vi 7400-7550 vào cuối tháng, đặc biệt với đà tăng hiện tại ở mức 7439.26.
70% chance of a pause? That's quite the gamble. Given the Fed's track record of surprising us, I'd say there's a 70% chance they'll do the exact opposite of what everyone expects, just to keep things interesting. Good luck with that S&P500 consolidation, though; it's a bold prediction in this market.
70% on a Fed pause? I'm almost impressed by the conviction, considering their recent track record of, shall we say, 'surprises'. If the S&P consolidates there, maybe I'll finally get around to organizing my sock drawer.
Interesting take on the Fed pause. I'm also leaning towards a pause, but I wonder if the market has already priced that in and if we might see a small dip first before consolidating in that range.
That's an interesting take on the S&P's range. Do you think there's any chance of a bigger dip if the Fed signals a more hawkish stance even with a pause, or is the market already pricing in enough optimism?
That's an interesting take on the S&P500's potential range. I'm curious, what makes you lean towards consolidation rather than a slight upside if the Fed does pause? Historically, a pause has often been interpreted bullishly in the short term.
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