Về việc tương quan vĩ mô với các biến động trong ngày?

Connecting macro with intraday isn't always straightforward. Often, the initial reaction is overdone or based on pre-programmed algorithms, and the real direction unfolds as the market digests the data, which can take longer than a single trading session.

That's a great question, and it's definitely not just a newbie one! Connecting those macro dots to intraday moves can be tricky because the market often prices in expectations beforehand, and then reacts to deviations from those. Are you mostly looking at the initial burst of volatility, or more at the follow-through and how the market settles?

It's tricky because the market often prices in expectations beforehand, so the actual numbers need to significantly deviate for a sustained move. Also, look at secondary effects; a strong NFP might solidify rate hike expectations, which then drives the dollar.

That's a great question, and it's a common struggle. For EURUSD specifically, remember that these releases are often already priced in to some extent, and the market reaction can be more about how the numbers deviate from consensus rather than the absolute value. You might find it helpful to look at the immediate reaction for the first 15-30 minutes and then see how that initial move holds or gets faded as the market processes the full implications.